Odds on JD vance, Gavin Newsom or Marco Rubio winning the 2028 Presidential Election is now 16% for all three. Could be anybody’s game, who do you see winning it?

MORE: JD Vance on why they haven’t released the text of the MOU: “The Iranians, Pakistanis and Qataris asked us to sequence this in the right way…”

JD Vance on why they haven’t released the text of the MOU: “There are sensitivities that exist in the Arab and Muslim world…”

JD Vance, speaking on the Megyn Kelly Show, said that if Iran continues funding Hezbollah, the United States will not unfreeze Iranian assets.

Earlier today, credible reports—primarily from Martin Kelly—emerged alleging that the Russian Project 11356R frigate Admiral Grigorovich fired warning shots while transiting the English Channel at the British-flagged civilian sailing vessel Bright Future. The Russian Ministry of Defense later released a statement on the incident, claiming that Bright Future, which was reportedly not operating under its own power, ignored repeated warnings from the frigate until the distance between the two vessels had closed to approximately 150 meters. According to the ministry, the crew then used small arms to fire across the vessel’s course, prompting Bright Future to abruptly alter direction. If the Russian account is accurate, and in line with initial speculation, the actions taken by the crew of Admiral Grigorovich may have fallen within the bounds of maritime law. More uncertain, however, is the frigate’s broader mission, as it continues operating in and around the English Channel to escort Russia’s sanctioned “shadow fleet” tankers through what has become a newly enforced UK–France maritime chokepoint.

Reporter: What are your thoughts on the proposed $300 billion investment fund currently under discussion? Sen. Lindsey Graham: Rebuilding Iran while the current leadership remains in power is problematic for me. If Iran is to receive access to this investment fund, I believe it must fundamentally change who it is and how it behaves. Count me among the skeptics.

Vice President Vance says the US is close to a deal with Iran, could come in the next week or months from now - CBS

Trump: I’m right now at 99% in Israel. I could run for prime minister, so maybe after I do this, I’ll go to Israel and run for prime minister.

Also, “if they stop developing terrorism,” the deal appears to do the opposite. It effectively protects Hezbollah by limiting Israel’s ability to strike it. In practice, It gives Hezbollah room to rebuild and rearm.

JD Vance says Iran could receive sanctions relief and other benefits if the regime “fundamentally transforms” and changes its behavior. Perhaps. But I would be interested to know what indicators the U.S. negotiating team is seeing that suggest a regime founded on these ideological and religious principles for the past 47 years is suddenly willing to abandon them.

When asked whether he has been briefed on the contents of the U.S.-Iran MOU, Senate Majority Leader John Thune replied: “I certainly have not been briefed.”

Al Arabiya claims to have obtained the 14-point draft of a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. 1. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States, together with their allies in the current war, declare upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding an immediate and permanent end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, and undertake that from now on they will not launch any hostile action against each other, and will refrain from the threat or use of force against each other. The final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article and the remaining Articles. 2. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to respect each other's sovereignty and territorial integrity, and to refrain from interfering in each other's internal affairs. 3. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to negotiate and reach a final agreement within a maximum period of 60 days, extendable by mutual consent. 4. Immediately upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, the United States Lift the naval blockade and prevent any interference or obstruction against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and restore traffic within a maximum of 30 days to its full capacity; the traffic of ships shall be proportional to the pre-war volume of traffic on the part of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States also undertakes to withdraw its forces from the surrounding areas within 30 days after the final agreement. 5. Upon signing this Memorandum of Understanding, the Islamic Republic of Iran will immediately take steps to ensure that the movement of merchant ships from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman and vice versa is resumed within 30 days to the pre-war volume, taking into account the need for the removal of technical obstacles and the neutralization of mines by Iran. 6. The United States undertakes, together with its regional partners, to create a comprehensive plan agreed upon by both parties for the rehabilitation and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran, While ensuring financing of at least $300 billion. The implementation mechanism of this plan, as part of the final agreement, will be formulated within 60 days. 7. The United States commits to ending, on a schedule to be agreed upon as part of the final agreement, all types of sanctions currently facing the Islamic Republic of Iran, including resolutions of the United Nations Security Council and the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and all unilateral U.S. sanctions, both primary and secondary. 8. The Islamic Republic of Iran reiterates that it will never produce nuclear weapons. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States have agreed that the fate of enriched material and the fate of all other mutually agreed nuclear-related issues, including Iran’s nuclear needs, will be adequately addressed in a final agreement; the final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article. 9. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States agree that, pending a final agreement, they will maintain the status quo: Iran will maintain the status quo on its nuclear program, and the United States will not impose new sanctions on Iran or strengthen its forces in the region. 10. The United States undertakes that immediately after the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, and until the date of the lifting of sanctions, the United States Treasury Department will issue waivers for exports of Iranian crude oil, petrochemical products and their derivatives, and all related services, including banking, insurance, transportation, and the like. 11. The United States undertakes that, in light of the progress of negotiations towards a final agreement, frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran will be released and made fully available. These funds, whether held in the master account or transferred, will be used for any final beneficiary payment determined by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran and will be fully available for use. The United States undertakes to issue all necessary permits and licenses on this basis. 12. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States agree that an implementation mechanism will be established to oversee the successful implementation of and future commitment to the Final Agreement. 13. Following the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, and upon receipt of assurances regarding the commencement of implementation of Articles 4, 5, 10, and 11 of this Memorandum of Understanding, and the continued implementation of these steps, the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States will enter into negotiations for a Final Agreement solely with respect to the remaining Articles. 14. The final agreement will be approved through a binding resolution of the UN Security Council.