Weekend tape has a funny way of sobering you up. #ADBE closed at 250.71, and the machine is whispering short-term upside while refusing to pound the table: 5-day model points only a hair higher with low confidence and sub-50 directional hit rate. Meanwhile the internals are a bar fight—MACD is turning up and the histogram is widening, but price is still miles under the 200-day and the 12-day can’t clear the 26-day. Add a weak risk-adjusted profile and you’ve got the same movie I saw a dozen times: a rally attempt inside a longer-term repair job ⚠️📉