spacestr

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drgo
Member since: 2023-02-01
drgo
drgo 6h

Yup. Claude code. I added s2f and log period power law models tonight

drgo
drgo 9h

Exponential vs. Powerlaw…PlanB’s Stock to Flow model is very useful over a certain range. But because it is exponential, there will come a time when it is not useful. Power law models can stay useful over a much broader range. It’s not that Plan B is “wrong,” it’s that the usefulness of his model has an expiration date. And he knows this.

drgo
drgo 7h

Yes. Bitcoin follows a power law over a longer time frame than a straight line or an exponential.

drgo
drgo 11d

Spam is completely solved on a technical level. Full blocks, be they spammy or not, won’t kill bitcoin. That said, there is human utility in reserving block space for legit transactions. Maybe would consider a BIP targeting partitioning of the block space into standard and nonstandard subblocks…keeping transactions cheap has value to network growth.

drgo
drgo 20d

Is that why I hit my session and weekly limit so quickly?

drgo
drgo 22d

What if we need more security than money itself can buy for bitcoin? I mean, what if people won’t pay enough for bitcoin transactions based on its money properties alone? But because bitcoin isn’t only money, but rather programmable money, I suspect higher use cases will take up the slack…

drgo
drgo 12d

Yeah. We solved spam a long time ago

drgo
drgo 4d

The father of Alexander the Great commissioned a servant to remind him daily: “Phillip, you will die.” Memento mori.

drgo
drgo 12d

It is clear you really care about the issue. But you’re going down the conspiracy angle. Over an issue that doesn’t fundamentally matter to Bitcoin.

drgo
drgo 10d

If you had a bunch of Bitcoin price data, and you wanted to extrapolate in to the future for retirement or DCA estimating, and that data fit a power law, the natural thing to do would be to create a Markov model with transition probabilities derived from quantile power law fits to price data and then take several hundred weighted random walks to get a feel for where one ends up after say 10 years… This sort of thing used to take a while on a computer; I can now do it on your phone…sorta…I precomputed about ½ a gigabyte of simulation results for instant lookup, but I think I will figure out how to integrate so people can pay for the compute cycles to simulate their exact scenario. Is 50¢ for high quality digital graphs of your retirement too expensive? I think I’m gonna corner the sub-$1 financial planner market 🤣 Coming soon to https://quantoshi.xyz/ !

drgo
drgo 13d

Want to Accelerate your stack? While I know this sounds crazy, and yes, this is risky, but have you considered extrapolating the effects of borrowing money to buy Bitcoin? Well, Quantoshi now lets you compare the effects of DCA vs. Borrow an amount equal to 1 year of DCA on an interest only loan and rolling over loan every year. The result? Saylor and are right…you need to think about this. Scroll down to Enter Saylor Mode and see what your extrapolated Stack-celleration factor would be! https://quantoshi.xyz/3 And if you suddenly find yourself needing to buy more sats, check out (the direct to wallet guys), (I personally use River and they offer something like interest on something like dollar deposits), and (see their bitcoin backed lending and line of credit)…

drgo
drgo 10d

But only because you don’t understand op codes

drgo
drgo 14d

You already know how many dollars is your stack worth now, but what about next year? What about next decade? Extrapolate your stack here: https://quantoshi.xyz/#q2:H4sIALmbp2kC_5WRwW7DIAyG38W9WpGBJtmOU6Te9gQIRSRByYGFKiGa8va126aHnjZZmB_8iw-MtZaKyiHENMIzW01Ko6aSHFrCuih5hnXyQ2DLOqXfdvDZHzqnwe_HIsUVHm5e9OnnehTW7coFw8E8nLcY2bWHu9sxTFdcKIXNStNZCbsgUrxNJScRSoSWIcI4JA5NCCetquqrYdjpUkvc1eWjIRLVNEqJMhqh9-MC-Mn0PsW0dH4BOcc-E_sQvtOcp7jD6zpGWtTlHo6nxTCGeeCzh83Hdoc_3VYJoKR3glFMqLnJ5xfDz3PKPofHl7T7P0HQbV0XA5ul0e4GT7_zdOUBAAA= Please note, any data you type in is saved in your browsers local storage. Source code available for free on github (like free free)…review or clone, it’s yours. Also, you can connect over tor too: http://u5dprelc4ti7xoczb5sbtye6qidlji2l6psmkx35anvxgjyqrkmu32ad.onion/

drgo
drgo 10d

lol, and you think your opinion matters when you can’t even understand the topic?

drgo
drgo 14d

Predicting is what _you_ do with data. This software just does math, it extrapolates.

drgo
drgo 10d

Totally agree. Which is why bip110 is a non-starter. You can’t deny people the right to spend their bitcoin. Imagine if your life savings was trapped because you were a cutting edge bitcoin user…

drgo
drgo 14d

Can we start with Doom?

drgo
drgo 10d

You misunderstand. Bip110 disables advanced bitcoin key security techniques because they aren’t common and spammers can use similar constructs…but throwing the baby out with the bath water is unwise and denying users the ability to move economically relevant amounts of funds is also unwise

drgo
drgo 14d

I did a thing to help retirement planning/DCA analysis: https://quantoshi.xyz It’s free as in beer and free as in speech: https://github.com/bg002h/quantoshi

drgo
drgo 10d

I think it would be safer and less contentious to partition space 90/10 instead of 100/0 with collateral damage

drgo
drgo 14d

Claude code is amazing. On Sunday, all I had were some static Jupyter notebooks to run plots for analyzing potential bitcoin purchase scenarios…by Tuesday morning I have an interactive desktop app for Linux, and a web app available on clearnet and tor! Check out Quantoshi: https://quantoshi.xyz http://u5dprelc4ti7xoczb5sbtye6qidlji2l6psmkx35anvxgjyqrkmu32ad.onion https://github.com/bg002h/quantoshi

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Bitcoin OG since 2010, former laptop solo miner - which makes me (amongst) the first obsolete Bitcoin miner(s), blockstream satellite node runner, #2A rights user, radiologist

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