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Peter Todd
Member since: 2023-02-24
Peter Todd
Peter Todd 5d

Be careful with humidifiers in winter. Depending on how your house is built, and how cold it is outside, you can end up putting enough water into your walls to ruin your house with mold. Unfortunately it's just not always possible to have humidity high enough to be optimal for humans, while having it low enough that the building doesn't get water damage.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 6d

Stop making apps for iOS. You're just feeding a centralized ecosystem without side loading.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 9d

An ad I spotted in NYC last week:

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 9d

That's not because of surveillance. Reuters and many other sites are trying to stop their content from being scraped by AI companies. Typically they put limits on total content downloaded per IP address. AI companies end up hitting those limits quickly. So they rent VPNs to try to get access to more.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 11d

“History is one long laundry list of how you can’t kill ideas with brute force. What you can do is introduce better ideas.” I've been thinking about this statement by HRF's for a few weeks. Notably, HRF as an organization is strictly "non-violent" – they're only willing to support diplomatic and educational efforts to stop tyranny. If you're using force, they want nothing to do with you. This week Russian finally took full control of the Shevchenko Lithium Ore Field in Ukraine. Yet another in a long list of minerals resources they've stolen. That one ore deposit is estimated to have $141 billion dollars worth of lithium in it: https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/ukraine-s-lithium-wealth-diminishes-as-key-deposits-fall-to The total value of land and resources Russia has stolen is in the trillions of dollars. Now ask yourself, is invading Ukraine a good idea for Russian? Can you convince Russians a better idea would be not invading Ukraine? You're not going to do it by appealing to their rational self interest: stealing trillions of dollars is incredibly profitable. You're not going to do it by appealing to their humanity: they're a nation of monsters who have no qualms murdering Ukrainians in their sleep. What you can do is change the incentives. At the moment, Russia has stolen something like $10 trillion worth of Ukrainian resources, at a cost of about 1 million casualties. That's $10 million of loot per casualty. That's a good deal, and it's precisely why they can pay soldiers enough to convince them to volunteer. If Russian gets a ceasefire now, they've profited enormously from their invasion. Taking that property back and killing a lot more Russians will make that a much worse deal. That's exactly what needs to happen. As for HRF, they're no different than the "defund the police" activists who tried to get incentives replaced with "dialogue". Just like those activists, HRF is a fraudulent organization whose non-profit status should be revoked. Furthermore, their connections to Russian imperialists and controlled opposition – who are literally on their board of directors – should be investigated thoroughly by the court system. In the meanwhile, if you want to actually help stop tyranny, donate money to one of the many Ukrainian military organizations who are defeating Russia by killing Russians more effectively. Most of them even accept Bitcoin, e.g. https://wildhornets.com/en/ and https://savelife.in.ua/en/

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 12d

Trump is old. It'll likely take Iran another 10+ years to rebuild their nuclear program and build a nuke. There's nothing "interesting" about observing that obvious fact.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 12d

"Less people dead is always better.” I explained quite clearly how Trump's actions are likely to lead to a lot more deaths of good people. You are displaying high time preference. You want to stop the killing right now, even though it's of people who should die, and don't give a damn about the money term consequences.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 12d

It's incredible how weak and selfish Trump actually is. There's zero reason to negotiate anything with Iran. Israel has overwhelming firepower superiority over Iran – all Iran can do is hit Israeli civilian targets at random. Bomb them until they are forced to unconditionally surrender, or there just isn't a government left to surrender in the first place. I think what's really going on is Trump is pissed off that Israel was getting all the credit for a brilliant, overwhelming, military success. So he forced a ceasefire and negotiations to give himself a role. There's a high chance this leads to the death of millions of Israeli's through Iran successfully rebuilding their nuclear program. But Trump will probably be dead by then. Finally, give Israel the $6 billion in frozen funds to pay for rebuilding Israeli property destroyed by Iranian missiles. Zero reason to give Iran a penny. Heck, Israel hasn't even destroyed their oil and gas industry: they've still got plenty of revenue. Why do they need yet more billions? Ukraine would be a much better use of aid money.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 14d

If Russia wins the end of the war means Russia is spending far less money on war, and has the benefit of brand new territories full of loot to steal. They'll have lots of money to pay back everything multiple times over. Wars of conquest can be extremely profitable if you win. That's why crushing Russia's economy is so important.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 5h

The scale of last night's attack.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 14d

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/06/24/russian-military-electronics-supplier-faces-shutdown-over-underpriced-state-contracts-a89556 tl;dr: Russia has been forcing companies to supply military contracts at unprofitable prices, essentially forcing the companies to borrow funds on behalf of the state. Additionally, banks are being forced to give military contractors loans. This lets the Russian government shift the debts to the companies, making the budget appear more balanced than it actually is. “Under Russian law regulating state defense orders, prices for dual-use products are determined by the military. For example, the Defense Ministry-set price for a single diode is 2,600 rubles ($33) per unit, compared to the 3,600 rubles ($46) the company would need to charge to cover manufacturing costs.” Officially about 50% of all Russian tax dollars are going towards war. With stuff like this happening, the real amount is clearly even higher.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 5h

Anyway, the best solution to this is to focus on destroying the Russian economy. No-one is giving Russia parts for free. With war at this scale every single Russian tax payer is a combatant. Russia mainly focuses on killing Ukrainian civilians as it is – they set a new record of 700 shahed drones last night. Doing the same to productive Russians is entirely fair. Last night I happened to stay at a horse ranch a few hours away from Kyiv. You could hear Ukrainian fighter jets flying around shooting down drones all through the early morning.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 6h

“EVERYTHING IS MADE IN CHINA! THE USA MAKES NOTHING ANYMORE!” Meanwhile in the real world the #1 source of electronic parts in a Russian SU-34 fighter jet is the USA... which they have to go the extra mile to acquire, because sanctions. https://x.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1942813145527115839

#1
Peter Todd
Peter Todd 4d

Yeah, it would have been 2019. Not easy to find again after all these years! First person to find it gets 100,000sats! If there's more than one photo each additional one gets 25,000sats. :)

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 5d

Like I said, it depends on how your house was constructed. If your house has a vapor barrier on the inside, then the vapor barrier should be above the dew point and water should not condense regardless of humidity level in your house. The problem is not all houses are built that way. Many older houses don't have a vapor barrier. And in some cases the vapor barrier is on the exterior of the wall. This is actually mandatory in hotter, wetter, climates with air conditioning, as the AC causes the same problem but in reverse: if the vapor barrier is on the inside, the vapor barrier is on the cold side, and water from hot and humid outside air will condense. There isn't necessarily any one solution to this. In places like Toronto in summer you have very hot and humid weather – with lots of air conditioning – while also having very cold winters. Regardless of where the vapor barrier goes you're screwed in certain conditions. So it's common to use different technologies like vapor retarders to try to let wet parts of the wall eventually dry out. But they inherently are vulnerable to abuse, like people trying to maintain a high humidity in winter.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 5d

It's also reduced group think and bullying. I've personally noticed how a lot of my unpopular takes get a lot of likes from well known people. But very few retweets. People support what I'm saying but don't want to show that support publicly.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 5d

I'd love to see that photo actually. I was with someone who will find it quite funny to see after all these years.

Peter Todd
Peter Todd 7d

Neat, F2Pool is mining annex-containing transactions now, propagated via Libre Relay: https://mempool.space/tx/9a2018ada098d39ce37683c304d38ac91ee0c025bf91254c1680170948b12eac

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