XMR already broke out of its bull flag against M2 money supply and indices like NASDAQ. XMR/USD will follow shortly. XMR/XAU will be the show stopper for now. XMR/BTC still the grand master, that will be taken on in 2027-2029. Everything based on 1M charts.

All charts (XMR/XAU, XMR/USD, XMR/BTC) suggest that Monero has room for a short term +100% move maybe even touching 4 figures for a while before seeing a correction to $500 or BTC 0.005 in 2026. At that point I'd expect some states to enter pre-panic mode. Especially those that delisted or banned Monero as it shows they lost control. States will push the delisting of KuCoin. Market will dump on short term liquidity drain, but see it as ultimate proof that Monero is the real deal.

This won't be a popular post. But it will make future funny money billionaires. BTC/XAU painted a convincing quintuple top over the last 4 years on the 1M chart. But not only that. It broke its uptrend line without hesitation. Now, I wouldn't completely give up on BTC as gold might also be due for a correction, but the market formulated an idea that is hard to ignore. It may suggest that the BTC store of value narrative will fail. What then? Monero has painted a multi year bull flag against USD and XAU (gold) which has still room for a run up in the short term (+100%) before ultimately seeking a break out into new price discovery. This is a warning shot. It's time to position yourself. Pro tip. Never measure (anything) without a fixed scale. Especially if we are talking about hyper inflated fiat currencies the only thing you'll get out is garbage.

Meanwhile privacy activists and coders rot behind bars.

That's wishful thinking at least in the short term. Five to seven years in the future, yes, that's the most likely outcome. At some point the USD will simply collapse under its own weight. By then you only can hope that enough companies have Bitcoin on their balance sheets to water the fall out.

Price action without the noise can be boiled down to "Monero and gold are chilling together". Like Peter Brandt mentioned a couple of weeks ago, it's the most interesting chart in all of crypto at the moment. I tend to agree. The setup is unique. The real outbreak versus gold is not expected before end of 2027. However, there is still room and the expectation to grow x2 versus gold within the next 12 months.

ZEC pump and dump is over. It just closed with a huge monthly wick that signals weakness or at least a stalling of momentum. Maybe Sillicon valley VC's figured that Bitcoiners and Monero investors won't fall for their silly plays, while spill-over effects are real.

Monero slowly climbing ranks in this lack-luster market. Today it silently confirmed its highest monthly close in its almost 12 years of existence. Once again it proves that it is now the only fully decorrelated asset, independently moving from all other markets. You want, no you need exposure to this coin. Depending on macro market forces there is the possibility to accumulate within the $250 to $500 range for up to 12 months more. After that we'll see the 8 to 9 year bull flag getting fully resolved to the upside giving us potential targets between $10k and $100k, no less.

Smart money is fleeing into the hardest assets. Gold, silver, Monero and surprisingly Bitcoin Cash. Why Bitcoin Cash and why not Bitcoin you may ask! BCH still has a dedicated community of early Bitcoiners who can easily maintain the price where it is guaranteeing a floor. Same with Monero. Both have actual on-chain use which helps further stabilizing exchange rates. Bitcoin is owned by institutions that want to shake out people. People have invested for speculative USD gains. As the market turns around and their livelihoods are endangered by USD inflation they start to sell off Bitcoin as they don't even own XMR or BCH.

Dictators like those pardons. They show the people who holds the power.

Bitcoiners need to wake up and sell their remaining BCH now or short it if they want to stop Bitcoin Cash from rising. The price chart shows a confirmed break out of BCH/BTC 8 year down trend. After 4 years of consolidation and stability this could be an early signal for a long-term trend reversal. Are Bitcoiners prepared for BCH eating into Bitcoin's security budget? Are Bitcoiners even hedged these days? Maximalist philosophy of many Bitcoiners might be their down fall.

This will be another unpopular post. The market suggests that BCH might become a better place to store your value than BTC at least for the next decade. It already poked the down trend against XAU and is ready to move against it in 2026. Not discussing BCH technical merits here. Thanks to the Bitcoin btrash campaign during the blocksize wars BCH has been sold short to such extremes that its natural tendency is to rise no matter what.

What if Bitcoin's store of value narrative gets disrupted? Are you prepared for that? Can one really be prepared for that? Should one be prepared?

BTC not much to say. Pretty much under control and developing at its own slow pace. Grinding between 70 and 120k for a couple of years will make the store of value narrative believable.

PoW coin dominance - or as some old timers would say - all that really matters. 1. BTC 2. DOGE 3. BCH 4. XMR 5. ZEC 6. LTC DOGE meme fun is over. Elon backers can't be bothered to pump it more so it bleeds until it falls of a cliff. XMR currently has the strongest narrative and community. Upcoming bull flag out break. BCH still has some OG support and technical break outs against BTC and USD. ZEC has some VCs and US gov want to position ZEC against Monero. Charts in correction mode, but likely does not matter as they will get the money printer support like BTC (Tether) and DOGE (Elon) before. LTC has a solid track record as a medium of exchange. Solid chart with possibility to expand. This is a silent revolution/reordering in the market. Use it to your advantage.