I’m just a fan… I’m 20 books into Bitcoin, my chosen mentorship has been Andreas Antonopoulos, through doing my best to read Mastering Bitcoin, and Lightning, Internet of Money 1 and 2. I don’t code. I recommend by 2 methods. Is the code Open source, and reputation. I’ll own that, it’s my personal best. Mike I’ve heard you on 2 podcasts years ago. You seemed very intelligent and interesting. 1 observation. You and your brother are hyperbolic in your vision/forecasts. I have no idea or proof that you’re an honest person or a liar. Matt- I’ve listened to a lot. He absolutely has admitted his upper limitations on code work in RHR 2018/2019 when I heard it. I don’t know of any lies he’s ever told, and have always found him to be believable at the very least and always seemed sincere. This is all I know And now this. Your approach to this discussion - turns me the fuck off - makes me think that you’re an absolute cunt - but I’m new to it because I’ve been really busy in my own life. I can agree that Bitcoin should only be money. I see and agree with all of the points about keeping the blockchain as light as possible in terms of data because of my eyes as a former communicator in the navy. That said I hate censorship, and Bitcoin is a hill that I will lay my life on for my family Is it possible that good people can approach this conversation in a constructive way where the community can learn from and grow together - I’m just a student. Ride or die can we generate good discussions on this. Can we get opposite parties together and learn

aren't these things supposed to explode and not fall out of the sky in one nice piece? What do I know, I'm not a doctor. I just play one on TV

Just a perfect rejection off of the original bear trend. Since the upthrust to 75K it's been and orderly walk down the ladder, frustrating all sides of the market. If we see a daily close below 62.8K I could see a fast flush down to 48K. David Levenson's sub 10K predictions are retarded... i want to know what the rest of markets look like when we get there. I'm a full believer in "the Great Taking" thesis. Only place to be is Bitcoin, at any price.

Still neutral, but this isn't the price action we're looking for on the bull case. Perfect rejections at key price horizontals. Only 3 days in 2026 has price closed below 65,107.

As a side note.... I'm not up to speed on the BIP 110, people I have come to respect are on all sides of this argument and it's kinda ugly. But from a market perspective... I don't think it's bullish. I don't think if there is a hard fork all of a sudden you're going to have Bitcoin A and Bitcoin B at 100K I mean maybe? I doubt it though. The more I think of maybe it will be, and lots of people are going to sell the right version of Bitcoin too soon and lose everything. That's the most entertaining option - as Musk might say

Neutral, but above the 4-hour trend. That matters. What looked like a head and shoulders before the aftermarket War Iran war shock has quietly morphed into what could be an inverse head and shoulders when markets opened back up. Call it what you want, that's the cost of being in the market and needing to know what you own. If the neckline holds, 74K is your measured target. Market structure is starting to build from the lower timeframes up — and the daily is finally showing me something: higher highs, higher lows. That's not nothing. Now — the cycle question nobody's asking honestly. The question isn't "is 60K the bottom?" The question is: where does the risk/reward sit right now? Here's where I land. I'm not convinced 60K was the bottom. But I also don't need to be. That's the wrong argument to win. If this is the bottom, everyone who bought under 78K is sitting on a gift. You're buying sats at prices potentially 50% off the previous high. You don't need to be the genius who called the exact low — you need to be the person who was in the zone when the risk was asymmetric. You won't know the bottom until it's well behind you. The edge isn't precision — it's being approximately right when the margin of safety is real. So what do I do with this? Stink bids. Test the waters. If you're not in yet, you're still shopping at a discount. Size accordingly, not heroically. The caveat I'd insist on: the weekly has not flipped bullish. Full stop. That's not a reason to ignore the setup — it's a reason to size for a trade, not bet the stack. The cycle turns slowly, then all at once. Respect the sequence. Stay humble about what you know. Stay honest about what you don't. The chart is giving you permission to look — not to go all in.

Gap to Gap When trend lines get broken, they often get revisited — not always on the same timeframe. The 12h trend line on my chart since October 28th was tested last week, almost five months later. You can't see that until you look at the lowest time frames. Here it's the 15m chart. I found how to identify these trends during the 2020 bull run. That bull move stayed above a 2d trend throughout. Every prior bear market had a weekly downtrend line established by this point — this one doesn't. That's worth noting. If we overcome the 2d it'll be because we've built the market structure to support it. That's where this bear market gets repaired — between the gaps. A daily close below the D/CL at 63,500 tells me the base has failed. This bear market is not dead. But the resiliency off the base is a good start

I coudn't imagine being afraid of a win win scenario, but there it is. Must be a cheeky Melanial

I was on the can... I was compelled to shit post. I had to. There we no rhyme, no reason. The only thing that made sense to me and my mad hominem was Nineteen Sevenny Nine. That was the relief on top of my relief, then all that was left for me to do was flush

This doesn't look like a liquidity grab to me, this looks bullish. The purple down trend was part of the trend channel I was observing that I thought we'd be stuck in. and we're currently out, we could revisit, but this is constructive price action on the 8hr. I'm seeing a case that we could end the week above 70.3k That would be step 1 in market repair. Everyone is noticing the pattern that i spoke about for over a month before anyone saw how obvious it was. Go back and look. Well I'm telling you now, that maybe it was a crowded trade. I'm seeing the market build a cause, very early stages.