i believe there is a major discoverability issue on nostr

by the end of 2030 ai will achieve a level of intelligence greater than the combined intelligence ever created by the entire human race. current models are incredibly premature compared to what we’ll have in just 5 years. 1) gpt4 to claude to gemini happened in like 18 months. we went from kinda useful to holy shit in like less time than it takes to get a driver’s license renewed. 2) moore’s law is dead but something weirder replaced it. algorithmic efficiency is doubling every 8 to 10 months. same compute, dramatically smarter models. we’re not just scaling. we’re discovering new architectures. 3) intelligence isn’t additive. it’s multiplicative. 1 einstein > 10k avg physicists. ai doesnt just add human equivalent minds. it creates something qualitatively different. 4) the entire sum of human knowledge. every book, paper, conversation, discovery. took 300k yrs to accumulate. an agi system will be able to process and synthesize all of it in hrs. then build on top of it. 5) we measure human intelligence in individual lifetimes. 80 yrs max of learning per person. ai systems run 24/7 don’t forget, dont get tired, dont die. a single year of ai development = centuries of equivalent human cognitive work. 6) current llms are like calculators in 1970. useful but obviously primitive. we’re still figuring out basic architecture. attention mechanisms are barely 7 yrs old. transformers might be our vacuum tubes. 7) the scariest and also the most exciting part? we don’t fully understand why these things work as well as they do. emergence keeps surprising us. capabilities appear that werent trained for. we’re building minds we can’t fully explain. 8) biological intelligence took 4b+ yrs of evolution. digital intelligence is iterating on timescales of months. evolution is a drunk walk through possibility space. 9) by 2030 we wont just have smarter chatbots. we’ll have systems that can do novel science prove new theorems design their own successors. the last human designed ai might already exist.

as far as i know nostr's been around 10-15k active users and hasn’t really moved out of that range for a while. if you’ve seen data showing otherwise happy to take a look

question is what % of the population actually cares about that stuff. thats probably the core issue. i know people who straight up tell me they want more cookies so systems can track them better and show more relevant things.

🤣

definitely the best way but not scalable. also there is a new user issue. you can't expect 15k ppl to do wonders

11.22.63 on Netflix might be one of the best time travel tv shows out there. it came out in 2016 and i have no idea how i missed it until now. 10/10

more like no humans will need to work

yeah you don’t want stuff shoved down your throat by an algo but you also don’t want new ppl to go completely unnoticed. there has to be a fine balance. also algo has turned into a bad word for no reason. it’s just software. big companies have always used software to their advantage to make more money. that doesnt mean algorithms themselves are bad. you can absolutely build a discovery system that helps surface new voices without turning into manipulation or noise.

i guess “to share” is the keyword but a non-functioning one

all sounds great but no user growth. no new faces, no new thoughts. there is a big discoverability problem but it’s directly correlated to user growth of course. bottom line is i don’t want to see the same fuck faces with 50 likes on 24hr trending evry time they post.

ok i’ll bite. nostr feels absolutely dead. it’s not just me. a lot of accounts i try to keep up with are constantly posting and getting almost no engagement. maybe it's time to be honest and actually think about whats going wrong instead of trying to create fake hype. there i said it.

yeah right

💯

is it really a controversial take or just a reality we don’t wanna hear